Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Christian Braun

NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 10th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, the other team has captured 9.9 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).
Christian Braun has sunk 92.9% of his free throws over the last 15 games on the road, 12.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 48.4% rate, Christian Braun's shooting prowess has dropped this year to 39.5%.
In regard to offense, the Nuggets's poor 99.8 points per game when playing on the road rates lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, opposing clubs have shot 49.5% on shot attempts from the field (5th-best in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, resulting in a positive matchup.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a decline in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the other team has attempted 25.0 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

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