Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 1.9 clip, Christian Braun's shots from the field hit have spiked this year to 3.9 per game.
Relative to last season's 35.0% clip, Christian Braun's 3-point effectiveness has risen this season to 39.6%.
This year, their opposition has tallied 85.1 field goal attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, resulting in a tough matchup.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted 20.9 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Chicago Bulls, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most lethargic pace road team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Chicago Bulls have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Nuggets have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 17.9 foul shot attempts per game.
Christian Braun will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production for all stats.