Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Christian Braun

NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 35.0% clip, Christian Braun's 3-point proficiency has spiked this season to 42.8%.
The matchup vs. the Suns is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing teams have totaled the 6th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.9).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 15.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.
The Suns have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.
The Phoenix Suns have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last year's 65.3% rate, Christian Braun's free-throw efficiency has tailed off this year to 62.5%.

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