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Christian Braun

Christian Braun Points
Player Prop - 6/9/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Christian Braun has converted 62.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.3% higher than he's converted overall this year while playing away from home.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 35.4% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

This matchup is a hard one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a mere 20.5 foul shots per game when the Heat are at home this year (least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Heat are playing at home, opposing teams have averaged the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (36.5).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production for all stats.

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