Christian Braun Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Christian Braun

NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 2:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Christian Braun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -450 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 14.5 clip, Christian Braun's playing time has increased this year to 19.9 minutes per game.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Christian Braun will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have come down with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).

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