Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Chris Paul slots into the 79th percentile for three-point proficiency with an exceptional 39.1% rate this year.
The matchup against the Brooklyn Nets is a good one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 2nd-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.9).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Chris Paul has made an impressive 100.0% of his foul shots this season, a significant increase from his 75.1 mark last season.

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Spurs's lackluster 107.6 points per game when playing on the road measures as the 7th-worst in the league this year.
The Nets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Nets have the home court advantage (3rd-least in the league).
Chris Paul will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player production for all stats.

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