Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 15, 2024

Updated Dec 15, 2024 10:34 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 10th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Chris Paul has successfully made a terrific 100.0% of his free throws this year, a big improvement over his 75.1 mark last year.
Chris Paul will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

In regard to field goal attempts, the 9th-least aggressive offense in the league as the home team this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Spurs.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league).

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