Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 6, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kings have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should raise opportunities for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Chris Paul has successfully made a whopping 100.0% of his free throws this year, a significant increase from his 75.1 rate last year.
Chris Paul will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

In regard to shots from the field, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court this year has been the Spurs.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have scored 15.2 points per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
The matchup against Sacramento is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game this year when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting team (8th-least in the league).

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