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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 11/11/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Spurs rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
  • The Spurs will likely see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).
  • Chris Paul has converted a whopping 100.0% of his free throws this season, a sizeable increase from his 75.1 rate last season.
  • Chris Paul will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Chris Paul has successfully made 40.3% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile among all players in the league.
  • The matchup vs. Sacramento is a difficult one; when the Sacramento Kings are on the road, they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (15.2).
  • The Spurs have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA while on their home court this year.
  • The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Kings, struggling to get to the foul line.

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