Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 11, 2024

Updated Nov 12, 2024 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Spurs rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The Spurs will likely see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).
Chris Paul has converted a whopping 100.0% of his free throws this season, a sizeable increase from his 75.1 rate last season.
Chris Paul will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has successfully made 40.3% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a difficult one; when the Sacramento Kings are on the road, they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (15.2).
The Spurs have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Kings, struggling to get to the foul line.

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