Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors will likely get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
The Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 11.5 rate, Chris Paul's shots have dropped this year to 7.8 per game.
Chris Paul has played a mere 26.4 minutes per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 32.4 minutes per game last year.
As it relates to drawing fouls, the Warriors's lackluster 16.2 free throw attempts per game measures as the worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Chris Paul will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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