Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 13.7 clip, Chris Paul's points per game have dropped this season to 9.1.
Chris Paul has averaged a mere 26.3 minutes per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 32.4 minutes per game last year.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 11.3 shot attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Hornets, marking this as a tough matchup.
The Hornets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Golden State Warriors.
As a team, the Warriors have been poor at drawing fouls of late: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, tallying a lowly 16.8 free throws per game.

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