Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 21, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has converted 51.5% of his treys over the last 10 games at home, 13.7% more than he's made over the course of the season while at home.
The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Chris Paul will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Warriors check in as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league playing at home this year.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Grizzlies).
Chris Paul has made a mere 0.9 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 2.1 mark last year.

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