Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 1:40 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Portland Trail Blazers are away from home, the other team has totaled the least 3-point shots per game in the league against them this year (9.7).
The Golden State Warriors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chris Paul stands to see an increase in production in all facets of the game in light of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 11.5 mark, Chris Paul's shots taken have declined this year to 7.8 per game.
Chris Paul has failed to make 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's missed from three in all games this year.
In regard to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 44.5% field goal percentage while on their home court ranks 3rd-fewest in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to reduce possessions for the Warriors.

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