Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 16, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Relative to last season's 80.6% mark, Chris Paul's free-throw proficiency has jumped this season to 89.3%.
The matchup against Oklahoma is a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.6 foul shots per game this year when the Thunder are on the road (29th-most in the league).
Chris Paul ought to see an increase in output for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has successfully made a lowly 20.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, a sizeable decrease from his 32.6 rate last year.
The Warriors check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league while on the road this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 36.1% on shots from the field (13th-worst in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The 8th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
While playing on the road, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive boards per game (14.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).