Cason Wallace Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Cason Wallace

NBA · Player Props

Cason Wallace

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Cason Wallace Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cason Wallace has attempted 4.1 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year, opposing teams have averaged 34.6% on three-pointers (weakest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, designating this as a tough matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 6th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Rockets have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, the other team has attempted 27.6 foul shots per game (most in the league) against the Houston Rockets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

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