Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Cameron Johnson comes in at the 89th percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 6.1 per game this year.
The Nets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pistons).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
The Pistons have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (25th-highest in the NBA) against the Pistons, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 3.0 3-point attempts per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, making this a challenging matchup.
The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
Compared to last year's 84.7% rate, Cameron Johnson's foul-shot ability has diminished this year to 72.8%.
As a team, the Nets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe recently: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 20.0 foul shot attempts per game.
Cameron Johnson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.