Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Cameron Johnson ranks in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 1.3 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should boost possessions for the Nets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out 7thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Hornets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate more chances for offense).
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.4 foul shots per game this year when the Charlotte Hornets are playing at home (30th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Cameron Johnson has failed to convert 4.3 3-point attempts per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.7 rate last year.
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Hornets are on the road, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.3).
The 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nets.
As a team, the Nets have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe away from their home court: worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 19.5 free throw attempts per game.