Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 12:18 AM UTC

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Cameron Johnson places in the 81st percentile, averaging a massive 15.7 points per game when playing at home since the start of last season.
Cameron Johnson has sunk 2.5 three-point shots per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Nets are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year (the Boston Celtics).
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Celtics (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have put up 11.9 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Cameron Johnson will likely experience a decrease in output for all stats considering playing away from hom in this matchup.