Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/17/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets · Apr 17, 2023

Updated Apr 17, 2023 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cameron Johnson has converted 53.7% of his treys over the last 5 games, 13.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The 76ers have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Cameron Johnson has made 96.6% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 11.8% more than he's sunk in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the 76ers is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.6 free throws per game this year (24th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup against Philadelphia is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the 76ers are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 9th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (30.7%).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Cameron Johnson will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers player performance for all stats.