Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 8:41 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's exceptional 124.7 points per game comes in as the strongest in the league this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the speediest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.0 free throws per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.
Buddy Hield figures to see a spike in production for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 13.0 rate, Buddy Hield's field goal attempts have declined this year to 10.2 per game.
Relative to last season's 8.5 clip, Buddy Hield's 3-point attempts have diminished this season to 7.1 per game.
Buddy Hield has tallied a lowly 25.9 minutes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 31.1 minutes per game last year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 4.3 shots made from the field per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, making this a challenging matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.3 offensive boards per game this year.

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