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Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield Points
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of scoring, the Indiana Pacers's superb 127.0 points per game while at home settles in as the most in the league this year.

The speediest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 9th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

The matchup vs. Phoenix is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.8 foul shots per game this year when the Suns are away from home (29th-most in the league).

Buddy Hield is expected to get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 13.0 mark, Buddy Hield's shots from the field have regressed this season to 10.4 per game.

Buddy Hield has attempted a measly 7.2 treys per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.5 rate last year.

This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 1.5 threes per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, labeling this as a tough matchup.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 5thworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

While playing on the road, the Phoenix Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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