Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has converted 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted over the course of the season.
Buddy Hield has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA while on their home court this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pacers grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Buddy Hield has sunk 88.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 8.8% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing at home.

Favors Under

Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting SGs have scored 15.6 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Pacers.
Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (continuing possessions that can result in more chances for offense).
As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: 4th-worst in the league over the last 10 games with a measly 20.7 foul shots per game.

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