Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to offense, the Indiana Pacers's impressive 127.5 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Indiana Pacers.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).
Compared to last season's 83.6% rate, Buddy Hield's free-throw performance has surged this season to 100.0%.

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has made just 2.8 threes per game this year, quite a bit less than his 3.6 rate last year.
Buddy Hield has been on the court for a lowly 25.3 minutes per game this season, significantly lower than his 30.5 minutes per game last season.
Buddy Hield has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.3 more than he's been called for overall this season on the road.
The matchup against Detroit is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Pistons are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have put up the 12th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (25.4%).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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