Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Utah Jazz · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has made 3.6 threes per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
The Pacers check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court since the start of last season.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA away from home this year.
This year, their opposition has grabbed 8.3 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (reducing possessions that could otherwise lead to further chances for offense).
Buddy Hield figures to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a favorable one; they have given up the 5th-most points per game in the league to opposing squads this year (120.1).
The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the league this year (the Jazz).
Buddy Hield has made 0.0% of his free throws this year, ranking him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
As a team, the Pacers have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line of late: 7th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, drawing a mere 20.0 foul shot attempts per game.
This year, opposing teams have attempted 26.4 free throws per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Jazz, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

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