Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has sunk 3.8 threes per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Buddy Hield has sunk 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Buddy Hield has averaged 31.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (which can also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Magic have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pacers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should decrease plays for the Magic.
The matchup against the Magic is a tough one for scoring; while on their home court, opposing starting SFs have averaged the least shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (4.7).
Buddy Hield will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production across the board.

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