Buddy Hield Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has tallied 2.7 assists per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric recently.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the speediest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Buddy Hield figures to see a spike in production for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has tallied a lowly 25.9 minutes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 31.1 minutes per game last year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Away from home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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