Buddy Hield Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has tallied 2.8 assists per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
Buddy Hield has averaged 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 4.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Pacers are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Wizards).

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.0 technicals per game last year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (preserving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).
Buddy Hield will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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