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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Toronto Raptors.

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have brought down 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pacers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).

Bruce Brown figures to get a boost in performance across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Bruce Brown comes in at the 79th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.3 fouls per game playing at home this year.

The Raptors check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

This year, opposing squads have shot 50.6% on shot attempts from the field (best in the league) against the Pacers, making this a good matchup.

The 8th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Raptors.

Bruce Brown has attempted 0.3 free throws per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 14th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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