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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has converted 6.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's converted overall this season.

Bruce Brown has successfully made 38.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one; they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (110.8).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown has attempted 3.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league on their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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