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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/23/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has attempted 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.5 rate last season.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a good one for scoring; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 29th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (7.4).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 21.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road.

The matchup against Minnesota is a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.3 foul shots per game this year when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage (29th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.

The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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