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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has averaged 15.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.

Bruce Brown has sunk 56.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.6% more than he's made in all games this year while at home.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.

The Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Nuggets.

Bruce Brown has attempted 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

While on the road, the Warriors have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 9th-worst in the league this year, totaling a lowly 22.4 foul shot attempts per game.

This matchup is a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Warriors are away from home, the other team have attempted a monstrous 26.3 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

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