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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets

Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bruce Brown has attempted 3.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.5 mark last year.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against the Wizards is a difficult one for threes; opposing teams have totaled the 6th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (11.9).

Bruce Brown has sunk 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's sunk overall this season.

The matchup against the Wizards may be a hard one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a mere 18.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Wizards are on their home court (least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bruce Brown has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Wizards have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

While playing at home, the Wizards have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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