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Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Bruce Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Bruce Brown has converted 53.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 12.7% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year on his home court.
  • Bruce Brown has attempted 4.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home.
  • The Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.
  • When playing on the road, the Warriors have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Bruce Brown has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (78th percentile).
  • This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; opposing teams have shot for the lowest three rate in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (40.4%).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Warriors is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a mere 26.2 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

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