Brook Lopez Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 11:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has tallied 1.9 offensive rebounds per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's best in this category recently: 88th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 30.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Knicks have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Bucks.
The New York Knicks have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Brook Lopez stands to see a decline in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this game.

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