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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 30.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 119.7 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA this year.

The Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while playing at home this year.

In comparison to last season's 75.8% mark, Brook Lopez's foul-shot prowess has spiked this season to 84.2%.

Brook Lopez is expected to see an increase in production across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brook Lopez has attempted a lowly 9.5 shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 11.6 rate last year.

Brook Lopez has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (87th percentile).

The matchup against Kristaps Porzingis is a challenging one for shots from downtown; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have made just 25.9% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (7th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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