Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2024

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 3, 2024

Updated Apr 4, 2024 2:57 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 31.1 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Bucks.
In contrast to last year's 75.8% mark, Brook Lopez's free-throw effectiveness has increased this year to 85.3%.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 11.6 rate, Brook Lopez's shots from the field have fallen this year to 9.4 per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez comes in at the 86th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. Jaren Jackson Jr. is a difficult one for scoring; when Jackson Jr. is on the visiting team and facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a measly 52.6% of their field goal attempts (10th percentile).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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