Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez registers in the 77th percentile for 3-point attempts, tallying 5.0 per game this year.
Brook Lopez has tallied 30.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting Cs have totaled 20.0 points per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (retaining possessions that can spark added chances for offense).

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