Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:18 AM UTC

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 53.9% rate, Brook Lopez's field goal efficiency has increased this year to 49.8%.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season.
The 9th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 7 games (the Detroit Pistons).
The matchup against the Pistons is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 3.6 free throws per game since the start of last season (22nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The matchup against the Pistons is a challenging one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league since the start of last season (0.3).
Over the last 8 games, the other team has collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons (lengthening possessions that can bring about extra chances for offense).
Brook Lopez has successfully made a mere 75.0% of his foul shots this year, significantly less than his 83.2 rate last year.

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