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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brook Lopez has successfully made 7.5 buckets per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 more than he's converted overall this year.

Brook Lopez has attempted 4.7 3-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 3.2 mark last season.

Brook Lopez has tallied an impressive 29.9 minutes per game this year, a significant increase from his 24.8 minutes per game last year.

The matchup against Philadelphia is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the 76ers are the visiting squad, the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 27th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (1.8).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brook Lopez has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The matchup vs. Joel Embiid is a challenging one for three-pointers; when Embiid is on the visiting team and facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a measly 23.9% of their 3-point shots (7th percentile).

The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Bucks.

When playing away from home, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been lousy at drawing fouls recently: 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home, averaging a measly 19.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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