Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has successfully made 9.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's converted overall this season.
Brook Lopez has sunk 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's converted over the course of the season at home.
Brook Lopez has played 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's played over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a favorable one for field goals; when the Spurs are on the road, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most buckets per game in the league this year (6.5).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Spurs have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been poor at drawing fouls in recent games: 6th-worst in the league over the last 20 games at home with a lowly 22.5 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup against the Spurs may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting Cs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (11th-least in the NBA).

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