Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has sunk 58.2% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 7.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season.
Brook Lopez has converted a terrific 1.9 treys per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.0 rate last season.
Brook Lopez has played 31.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (which also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season playing at home (which also create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Knicks is a hard one for attempts from beyond the arc; while playing at home, opposing squads have tallied the 8th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (36.2).
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Bucks have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Knicks.
Brook Lopez will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens player performance for all stats.

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