Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has sunk 66.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 22.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from home.
Brook Lopez has converted 87.5% of his foul shots over the last 14 games on the road, 10.7% more than he's converted in all games this season away from his home court.
Brook Lopez has averaged 31.4 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
At home, the Raptors have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Raptors is a challenging one for shots from the field; on their home court, their opposition have shot for the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (49.2%).
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Bucks have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Raptors.
The matchup against the Raptors is a difficult one for shots from the field; with the home court advantage, the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 9th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (8.7).

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