Brook Lopez Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 31.6 minutes per game this year.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Bucks.
This year, opposing clubs have captured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).
Brook Lopez should see a spike in productivity across the board considering having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (88th percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat).
The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).