Brook Lopez Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2024

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 6, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 12:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Brook Lopez Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -245 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has tallied 30.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Houston Rockets have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.
This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have come down with 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Brook Lopez places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.6 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the league when playing on the road with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Brook Lopez will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production for all stats.

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