Brook Lopez Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -225.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has averaged an impressive 1.7 assists per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.3 assists per game last year.
The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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