Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 2:43 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has attempted 17.7 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 3.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Brandon Miller has converted 3.3 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Brandon Miller measures in the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 30.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
The matchup against the Warriors is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost possessions for the Hornets.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Brandon Miller ranks in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year.
In terms of scoring, the Charlotte Hornets's lackluster 106.6 points per game measures as the weakest in the league over the last 25 games.
The Hornets have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (preserving possessions that can create added chances for offense).
Brandon Miller ought to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

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