Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Utah Jazz vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has logged 23.8 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.2 more than he's logged in all games this season.
Brandon Miller has successfully made 3.3 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.
Brandon Miller has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup against the Utah Jazz is a good one for threes; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.4).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more opportunities for the Charlotte Hornets.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Brandon Miller lands in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.6 fouls per game this year.
With respect to offense, the Charlotte Hornets's lackluster 105.3 points per game as the away team ranks fewest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The 9th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Hornets.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Jazz, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
Brandon Miller stands to experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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