Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 11:38 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 8.0 buckets per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Wizards, creating a good matchup.
The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 8 games has been the Hornets.
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 12thbest in in the league as the home team with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Brandon Miller is expected to see an increase in productivity across the board as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Brandon Miller has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
With respect to offense, the Hornets's poor 108.0 points per game measures as the 5th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has brought down 13.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Wizards (retaining possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).
This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, struggling to draw fouls.

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