Brandon Miller Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 14, 2023 10:35 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have grabbed 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate more chances for offense).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have attempted 18.7 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league playing at home this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
This year, opposing clubs have totaled 13.6 threes per game (5th-most in the league) against the Heat, marking this as a positive matchup.

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