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Brandon Miller

Brandon Miller Points
Player Prop - 11/5/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets

Brandon Miller Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brandon Miller has averaged 28.0 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one; when the Mavericks are at home, they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs since the start of last season (18.8).

The Hornets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brandon Miller has converted 16.7% of his 3-pointers since the start of last season, placing him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the league.

Brandon Miller has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (99th percentile).

The Charlotte Hornets have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season.

The Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 24.5 foul shots per game since the start of last season (8th-most in the league).

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